No matter what side of the fence you are on, everyone is agreed that
electricity companies will be very different in a few years’ time. In the broader context, change is inevitable of course and we need
look no further than the business world to see that sustainable
businesses adapt and prosper, leaving others in their wake. Although
they come from a history of public ownership where things move more
slowly, utilities are far from immune; transformational change is
happening all around us at an ever faster pace.
We already have a “new normal”, compared to just a few years ago. Just how storage will fit in the utility business models of the
future remains to be seen, but clearly there are some great examples
around the world of what it might look like. In New Zealand for example, Vector Energy has jumped in boots and all
to trial new business opportunities in demand management energy
efficiency, solar and energy storage solutions. Although it’s not clear
what the future market will look like, they clearly see opportunities to
monetise the value of load shedding in residential and commercial
applications.
Vector is a privately owned network company, but has diversified
income from metering services, demand management, load shedding
incentives and other activities. The metering part of their operations
is a crucial piece of the puzzle if Australian experience is anything to
go by; lack of granular data is a common excuse for lack of action
here. In 2013, Vector commenced a trial on fifty homes with an integrated
offer of solar PV, Lithium storage, data monitoring, finance and load
shedding. Although they are subsidising the current offer, they see this
type of solution as logical and inevitable.
Whether Lithium – or some other technology is the ideal solution is just one of the many topics that will be covered at the Australian Energy Storage Conference scheduled for May 8th – 9th
2014. A leading cast of experts with real world technologies and
first-hand experience will present their latest findings; an ideal
opportunity for utilities to check their technology positioning. Storage solutions will in all likely-hood be technologically diverse
allowing utilities to target specific network issues. For example, using
PV to directly heat water is an emerging market niche in Australia and
abroad. The massive reductions in PV cost coupled with the simplicity of
installation compared to solar thermal installation provide
increasingly compelling economics.
The transformative part of this equation is unravelling how utilities can derive increased income by selling less
energy. This is no mean feat and will require regulatory intervention
and a major change in the business models they currently employ in
Australia to work. Some parts of this equation are concisely clear, however.
The first is consumer demand. The desire for increased energy
independence has created an overwhelming community desire for PV.
Similarly, those with PV can now see that storage is the next logical
step. It’s a simple psychological leap that increasing numbers of early
adopters are already taking and as costs fall, wider adoption becomes
inevitable. It’s no longer a question of if; it is now only a question
of when. Of course, wider adoption could happen in several ways. Like PV, it
could be pulled through by community demand once the economics become
compelling enough. This is far from ideal because it will happen despite
utilities, in less optimal ways and if history is any gauge, faster
than they expect. Messy disruption.
Utilities are faced with major challenges which vary dramatically
around the world; and even geographically in Australia. They now have a
decision to make with respect to storage; get in early and choose their
own hand which suits them best in exchange for early adoption, or face
the consequences of an inevitable market surge and play the hand they
are dealt; for better or for worse. In the last month I have spoken with five different storage solution
providers all offering different technologies, solutions and angles on
what will work best. There was one consistent story across them all –
costs are falling faster than they expected.
Source:- Solarbusiness
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